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    October 24

    抄底

    连续亏钱亏怕了,只要不是赤字,可以接受的绿字都是收工的理由。

    “日线级别”、“影线级别”…

    10:00现房销售,大家的意见有分歧,说碰到这情况,等个5分钟,5分钟后方向出来了,空头。而在这之前,虽然看空,但是做空有点早而且很恶心的short了很强的票,所以止损后面做的很小心,也就错过了机会。后面的事情很出意料,大盘不断走低,unstoppable。然后今天唯一做了两笔就是实践前几天的抄底,还算成功,虽然事后看,当初的位置根本就不是底,但是仓位控制尚可,便微喜。

    看图说话,今天的图有的说了,就到14:10,后面的不管
    image 关键点见各种白箭头
    #10:00 Existing Home Sales数据出,第一分钟放量上涨逼近日内高点(其实也不算什么高点,就是差不多开盘价),这时候应该等方向,5min线是一个空头的吞没,并跌破日内低点,空头。
    #放量下跌后的回调与前波段形成的趋势线,持续了一个小时。甚至11:00的指标三重背离都没给趋势调整的机会。直至11:20,第三个平底被跌破,放巨量,预测见底,而在约21分时大盘带有绝望情绪的抛空时(这种绝望情绪也表现在李老伯的止损),入场。
    #11:33,测试低点成功,有小量,证明低点初步形成。淡定持仓~
    #关于底部常听到的说法是:老子抄到底了,老子拿到收盘。而抄底的难度就在于,图上显示的永远是暂时的底部,你要不断的经营自己的仓位才能够保证获得合理的利润。就如今天在13:00时刻向上的趋势线被跌穿的时候,原下跌趋势又要重新开始了。如果抄底的仓位还没处理,请在此时注意。
    #事后看,每一次放量都是短期的底部,但是哪一个是真正的底部呢?对不起,今天没有底部;对不起,你做反了。

    逆势固然看似安全,但总归是逆势;顺势虽然来钱快,但是总让你心慌慌。所以还是那句话,在正确的时间做正确的事。

    前昨两天大盘收的两根线意味深长,而今天的大红则打破了某种平衡,个人菜鸟意见。而至于回调还是反转的说法,并不重要,因为今天熊了,明天的事儿我可不知道。

    challenging but rewarding

    image 

    1、12:00结束工作的时候,SPX还没有再次探底的迹象,所以标题是很自负的“抄底”。
    2、李老伯:“洗尽铅华…”

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